Blimling and Associates Blog

Blimling and Associates Blog

Market news, alerts, and commentary


Entries for month: October 2009

CME Spot Markets 10/30/09

Block cheese closed at $1.5100/lb, up $0.0050/lb with 3 trades

Barrel cheese closed at $1.4875/lb, down $0.0050/lb with 1 trade

Butter closed at $1.4100/lb, up $0.0500/lb with 7 trades

Grade A NDM closed at $1.3350/lb, up $0.0100/lb with no trades

Extra Grade NDM closed at $1.2700/lb, unchanged with no trades

Category: From the Trading Floor

Headlines 10/30/09

CEC Entertainment Profit Up 28%

Big Cheese Celebrates Fonterra's Inroads Into Huge Market

IDFA Announces New International Dairy Show

Dairy Firm Trading Profitably

 

Category: Headlines

Weekly Slaughter

Dairy cow slaughter for the week ending October 17 was 50,644 head, down 0.5% from the same week last year.

 

This puts slaughter up 243,000 head year-over-year, YTD through week 42.

 

Category: Flashes

CME Spot Markets 10/29/09

Block cheddar cheese closed at $1.5050/lb, up $0.0050/lb with 8 trades.

Barrel cheese closed at $1.4925/lb, unchanged with no trades.

Butter closed at $1.3600/lb, up $0.0100/lb with 3 trades.

Grade A and Extra Grade NDM were unchanged at $1.3250/lb and $1.2700/lb, respectively, with no trades.

Category: From the Trading Floor

Headlines 10/29/09

Sassy Cow Creamery

Senator: Milk Prices Too Low

Cola Goes Cowla

India: Milk Production Set to Go Up

Better Prices on the Way for Dairy Farmers

CWT Accepts Bids Representing 26,000 Cows

Category: Headlines

On The Other Hand...

Positive feelings stirred up by the uptick in home values as measured by the Case-Shiller Home Price Index were countered with today's release of "new home sales" data. Sales for September came in at an annualized rate of 402,000 units, well below expectations for something in the 440,000 unit neighborhood.

Wall Street's mood was also soured by disappointing numbers in the Conference Board Consumer Confidence survey. The reading came in at 47.7 compared to expectations in the 54.0 area. Consumers are not feeling especially buoyant. And, the don't exactly figure that Washington has the answers. Polling data published in The Wall Street Journal today revealed that: 

 Just 23% said they trust Washington to do what is right most of the time or just about always, a level not seen since 1997, 1995 and before that 1982, the last time unemployment reached the current level.

The road to sustained, broad economic recovery still seems uphill.

Category: The Economy

Spot Markets 10/28/09

Block cheese closed at $1.5000/lb, unchanged with no trades.

Barrel cheese closed at $1.4925/lb, unchanged with no trades.

Butter closed at $1.3500/lb, unchanged with 2 trades.

Grade A NDM closed at $1.3250/lb, unchanged with no trades.

Extra Grade NDM closed at $1.2700/lb, unchanged with no trades.

Category: From the Trading Floor

Headlines 10/28/09

Dairy Farmers Tell Lawmakers of Crisis

Stressed Peurto Rican Cows Give Less Milk, Force Imports

IDFA Chairman Tells Senate Now is Time for New Dairy Policies

Profile: United Dairy Farmers

Idaho Dairy Counties Weathering Recession

Fonterra Expands Investment in Malaysia

Washington, Oregon Advocate More USDA Purchases of Dairy Products

EU Dairy Sector Looks to Revamp

France Unveils Farm Aid Plan, Wants EU Action   

Category: Headlines

Stability and Calls for More Stimulus

Finding a measure of stability in the housing sector has been viewed as critical to halting economic decline and pouring a foundation for some measure of recovery. By now the evidence for bottoming and mild housing market recovery is pretty convincing. It was informed by the latest Case-Schiller Index data on prices published this morning. Home prices were up 1.2% in the major metropolitan regions covered by the survey, making it four months of upward movement in a row.

The $8,000 first-time-buyer home credit may be playing a role in boosting the housing market's fortunes. Some figure it is one of the few pieces of government stimulus programs that is actually producing tangible results. In an editorial today, however, The New York Times opines that the home credit is too narrowly focused and only helps with activity that would have happened anyway. This is not to say that the Times is anti-stimulus. Anything but: the editorial calls for more government stimulus, hewing to a line of thinking regularly advanced by the paper's Paul Krugman:

Without another round of effective stimulus, the worst recession in modern memory will likely become — at best — the weakest recovery in modern memory. Another boost to federal spending that is targeted and timely should not be too much for politicians to deliver.

 

Category: The Economy

CME Spot Markets 10/27/09

Block cheese closed at $1.5000/lb, unchanged with no trades

Barrel cheese closed at $1.4925/lb, unchanged with no trades

Butter closed at $1.3500/lb, unchanged with one trade

Grade A NDM closed at $1.3250/lb, unchanged with no trades

Extra Grade NDM closed at $1.2700/lb, unchanged with no trades

Category: From the Trading Floor

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